Coupled EBM Project Update 10/4

Equations As of Now




  • T = Temperature
  • P = pCO2
    • = per-capita carbon footprint
  • N = Population
    • = per-capita growth rate, dependent on temperature
    • =temperature resulting in optimum growth rate
    • = exponential ramping distance
    • = proxy for technology, kept constant here

http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/exInput.png

Methodology

  1. Run energy balance model until equilibrium is reached, with an average global temperature of
  2. Center the optimum growth rate for the civilization to that temperature, ie: set
  3. Turn on coupling functionality, which allows population to rise, causing more CO2 to be in the atmosphere, which inevitably raises global temperatures past a habitable point

Example outputs for Varying Orbital Distances

http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/0-94AU.png http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/0-95AU.png http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/0-98AU.png http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/1AU.png http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/1.1AU.png http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/1.3AU.png http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/1.524AU.png http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/1.7AU.png http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~esavitch/plots/habitableZone/1.8AU.png

notes

  1. 1.524AU is the orbital distance of mars
  2. 273.15K is the freezing temperature of water
  3. 373.15K is the boiling temperature of water

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